Posts Tagged ‘ HTC ’

Is the Mighty Ad Machine Bulletproof? Methinks not.

As I posted earlier, it’s impressive how Microsoft has been able to get in on the Android gravy train, especially in light of how much of a disappointment their own mobile efforts have proven to be in the marketplace (by the way, I do actually like the Windows Phone 7 interface).

Well, by losing the Nortel patent auction, Google once again finds itself in a very precarious position.  Even though Microsoft had patent licensing agreements in place with Nortel to start with, one could argue that if Google had acquired the patent portfolio, it might have made life a little easier on them, despite existing licensing agreements likely remaining in place.  But since all those 6,000+ patents (many of which are for mobile technologies that will almost certainly prove to be problematic for Brin and Co.) are now out of Google’s reach, it may have no choice but to concede that their free OS isn’t really free after all.

Don’t get me wrong.  I have much respect for Google and for the innovation they bring to the marketplace.  I was at Yahoo! when I saw the mighty Google engine take away the vaunted search business from us.  And being at Nuance now, I know how much Android’s “free” speech APIs have kept us on our toes.  Google has a way, because of their ad engine, to innovate and push things out in rapid fashion and arguably with high feature content, that others frankly struggle with.  It’s almost like because it’s free, they get permission to experiment.  Collect data.  Build better models.  But there is always a day of reckoning, either for end users (consider the termination of GOOG-411 and the Google Translate API) or for OEMs, and for the latter, they will likely have to start paying a toll to Microsoft.  And if Microsoft can somehow figure out how to get their app ecosystem working, they could always push Android out of the market and push Windows.  But without apps, the phones will perish.

So they better move quick.

Samsung Taking Over, Perhaps Defining, India Smartphone Market

First, they launched a device that was the first real competitor to the iPhone.

Then, they launched a tablet that, at least for me, has a much better form factor than the iPad.

Now, Samsung appears to be poised to capture a whopping 40% of the smartphone market in India.

India, the second-largest mobile market (behind China).  That’s pretty impressive.

Livemint.com published this article that illustrates how Samsung plans to do that.  The South Korean company has approximately 15% of the 5 million annual smartphone handset sales pie (or about 750K units), and through the introduction of more smartphones and the general predicted growth of the market next year to 8 million units, that means Samsung will be shipping nearly 3.2 million handsets, or a growth rate of over 400%.

This is definitely good news for Samsung, and it’s reflective of the company’s overall global growth and attractiveness.  Combined with the velocity of HTC, and especially in China, Motorola, Apple may have more to worry about than maybe originally thought.  Oh, and by the way, Apple just released the iPhone 4 in this same formidable marketplace.  Yep, nearly one year after its US launch.

The infamous brian cork, avowed Appleista, recently quipped that the market cap growth potential of Apple may be facing a wall soon.  He and I both will likely continue to do our part to curb that trajectory by buying products from JobsCo, but nevertheless, there are others that are catching up in the design and cool factor that have long defined the Apple Experience.  And, as Google continues to refine and enhance its Android OS, it will be interesting to see if Apple will be able to continue its dominance, or, crowded between the likes of HTC, Samsung, Motorola, LG, and others, it will slide into a niche device that is still cool, but not worth selling a kidney for…

If You Can’t Beat ‘Em, Tax ‘Em

There are few but the most diehard of fans that believe Microsoft’s level of innovation is anywhere close to where it was under Bill Gates’ reign.  Particularly in the mobile space, despite having an admirable user interface, it would appear that, barring some sort of magical distribution pixie dust a la Nokia, MS will continue to fight for survival.

But they’ll still make a boatload of cash.  At least compared to how much they are making selling their own Windows Phone 7 devices.

 

 

John Paczkowski, one of the contributors for AllThingsD, recently wrote about how MS is making a lot of money in licensing revenues from the likes of HTC for devices running…wait for it…

Android.

That’s right.  Android.  He references Citi analyst Walter Pritchard’s statement that MS makes about $5 for every Android phone that HTC sells.  Estimates of 30 MM handsets shipped translates into approximately $150MM.

 

And indications are that MS isn’t really done yet.  They’re going after other OEMs as well, and they’re looking to charge even more as a royalty.

Now I know why Kevin O’Leary always pushes licensing deals on Shark Tank.  Beats having to build and distribute stuff yourself.

Or at least helps ease the pain when you do and it doesn’t pan out…

Asian Mobile Users Hungry for Ads

Here’s some sweet music for mobile operators struggling with stagnant, and even declining, ARPUs, or average revenue per user.

A recent study by the Mobile Marketing Association and mobile advertising firm Out There Media reveals the mobile user as a very different beast from the fatigued online user and one that might even be hungry for targeted ads.

Unlike the average Internet user who is tired of being bombarded with online ads and by other marketing methods, the mobile user is happy to even sign up for intelligent, location-based ads, the study reveals. The finding is quite intuitive, given the critical mass smartphones is attaining in these markets, and the hunger for information among the youth, the predominant users of these services.

Two key findings of the study should make marketers and mobile operators leap in joy.

First, opt-in rates permission-based mobile marketing in Asia are an average 25.15 percent; and the study found rates as high as 50 percent in some markets. Compare this with the abysmally low response rate for direct marketing of 1.38 percent.

Two, 97 percent of mobile users are willing to share location data with their operators and 96 percent are willing to share their interests in order to receive targeted ads.

How is this significant for Asian and other emerging markets?

Many telecom operators across the region have been hit by a double whammy: huge capital expenditure to roll out 3G services and declining voice revenues, mainly on account of lower call rates caused by tariff wars.  Take Bharti Airtel, India’s largest cellular operator, for example. It is investing up to $3 billion to roll out 3G services while battling tariff wars in the world’s fastest-growing mobile market. For the latest quarter, Bharti said ARPUs, already astonishingly low by global standards, dropped 12 percent to $4.3 a month.

In Brazil, the largest operator Vivo’s ARPUs fell 11 percent last year and MarketResearch.com, a leading industry research group based in the U.S., predicts falling ARPUs in Brazil till at least 2013.  In Mexico, the results are mixed. While the largest operator, Telcel’s ARPU is projected to fall to $12.54 in 2013, Nextel’s is predicted to rise to $69.10 in 2013, according to IE Market Research Corp., a Canadian provider of market intelligence services.  In Russia, a cellular market that has matured far ahead of other emerging markets, ARPUs have stabilized and are expected to rise. But market analysts say the rise would be inadequate to cover soaring costs, leaving telcos vulnerable.

In the circumstances, targeted mobile marketing offers operators such as Bharti Airtel, Vivo and many others one of the best ways to transform their business. They may consider two ways.

One, roll out more location-based services in what is a virgin market.

Two, hand out more smartphones by subsidizing handsets like in the U.S. MTS, an Indian operator, last month introduced such offers for a couple of HTC smartphones, bundling them with two-year contracts. It is not far-fetched to imaging others following suit, especially with more expensive handsets such as iPhones.